Bihar exit polls 2025 suggest NDA likely to win, but Tejashwi Yadav emerges as most popular CM choice over Nitish Kumar. Results on 14 November.

As Bihar gears up for the declaration of election results on November 14, exit polls indicate a tight contest for the Chief Ministerial position between Tejashwi Yadav of the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and incumbent Nitish Kumar of the Janata Dal (United) (JDU).

While most exit polls suggest a National Democratic Alliance (NDA) majority in the 243-member Bihar assembly, Tejashwi Yadav has emerged as the most preferred CM candidate among voters, signaling strong support for the opposition leader.

NDA Predicted to Retain Power

According to People’s Pulse, the NDA is projected to win 133-159 seats, comfortably crossing the majority mark of 122. The Mahagathbandhan, led by RJD, is estimated to secure 75-101 seats, while Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraj Party is likely to win between 0-5 seats.

Despite the NDA’s expected victory, Tejashwi Yadav has overtaken Nitish Kumar in popularity as a Chief Ministerial candidate. The exit poll shows:

• Tejashwi Yadav (RJD): 32%

• Nitish Kumar (JDU): 30%

• Chirag Paswan (LJP): 8%

• Prashant Kishor (Jan Suraj Party): 8%

• Samrat Choudhary (BJP Deputy CM): 6%

• Rajesh Kumar (Congress Bihar President): 2%

also read:- CM Nitish Kumar Takes Charge at JD(U) War Room as Bihar…

The data reflects voter preference trends amid speculation about Nitish Kumar’s health, which has been a key topic in recent political discussions.

Opposition Strength and New Entrants

Tejashwi Yadav’s popularity underscores the RJD’s continued appeal, especially among youth and urban voters. Chirag Paswan, son of veteran leader Ram Vilas Paswan, and former election strategist Prashant Kishor, contesting through his newly-formed Jan Suraj Party, have gained limited traction, with most exit polls forecasting minimal seat wins.

What to Expect on November 14

While exit polls provide an indication, historical trends suggest that they can often differ from actual results. Political analysts caution voters and stakeholders to wait for the official announcement on 14 November 2025.

With NDA projected to hold the majority, the contest for the Chief Ministerial post remains highly watched, especially given Tejashwi Yadav’s narrow edge over Nitish Kumar in voter preference. The final outcome could reshape Bihar’s political landscape and determine the leadership for the next five years.

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